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Marseille: Vieux-Port

27/09/2026, 10:53:34

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Investment brief

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AI qualitative take

Four layers: calculated yields from your inputs, sourced official market data (France), explicit projection assumptions, AI qualitative analysis.

Asking €215,000 (~€3,909/m²). Input-based gross yield 5.5%; monthly cashflow +€395 (unlevered).

Gross yield

5.5%

Price-to-rent

18.3x

Net yield

5.0%

Monthly cashflow

€890

Payback

20.1 yrs

Sourced market context

Official data

Demo sample figures for the UI. Not a live DVF or INSEE extract.

DVF median sale price

€4,249/m²

Transactions (n)

19

DVF median change (available years)

n/a

Gap vs DVF median

-8%

Price at DVF median (calc.)

€233,696

INSEE vacancy

11.2% (INSEE)

Carte des loyers reference

17.80 €/m²/mo · gap 0%

Derived gross yield (DVF sale / ANIL asking rent)

5.0%

Derived price-to-rent (DVF sale / ANIL asking rent)

19.9x

Source: Demo sample. Licence Ouverte / Etalab attribution where applicable.

Your price vs the market median

The height gap is the brand: how far your asking price sits from the DVF median for similar sales.

Priced below the sourced median. The gap is a buffer, not a buy order.

You pay

€215,000

At DVF median

€233,696

Gap

-8%

Sample confidence

Medium (n 8 to 19) · n=19

Offer language

Four lines you can send the agent. Sourced DVF gap only. Not a commitment.

Interest in Marseille: Vieux-Port at €215,000

Hello, I reviewed Marseille: Vieux-Port listed at €215,000.

The ask is at or below the sourced median (€233,696, n=19). I would keep €215,000 subject to visit.

Please confirm documents and a viewing slot.

I can send the one-page decision pack. This is not a commitment.

Gross yield lies: three operating cases

Optimistic ignores vacancy. Base uses INSEE vacancy when available. Pessimistic cuts rent 10%, lifts charges 20%, adds vacancy, and +1 pp on the rate if financed.

INSEE vacancy mapped to months: 1.3 mo/yr

OptimisticBasePessimistic
Net yield5.0%5.0%4.3%
Net-net5.0%4.4%2.9%
Monthly cashflow (levered)€890€890€774
After 30% illustrative tax (30%)€623€546€370
Vacancy used0.0 mo/yr1.3 mo/yr3.3 mo/yr

The 30% line is a labeled haircut on unlevered net after vacancy. Not tax, IR, or LMNP advice.

Does this deal survive a bad year?

Four named shocks, then all at once: rent −10%, rate +2 pp, +6 months vacancy, works +15% on price.

  • Rent −10%Levered cashflow: €792Survives
  • Rate +2 ppNot applicable (cash / no rate)
  • Vacancy +6 monthsLevered cashflow: €890Survives
  • Works +15% on priceLevered cashflow: €890Survives
  • All shocks togetherLevered cashflow: €792Survives

The combined shock still leaves non-negative levered cashflow.

After the brief: what to do next

The brief is a screen, not due diligence. Tick what you still need before an offer.

Documents to request

On the visit

Questions for the agent / notary

Yield analysis

Calculated from your inputs (deterministic)

Purchase price: €215,000 · Size: 55 m² · €3,909/m² Gross rent: €11,760 (€980/mo) · Charges: €90/mo Gross yield: 5.5% · Net yield: 4.8% · Net-net: 4.5% Monthly cashflow: +€395 Cash purchase payback: 11.2 years

Market assessment

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

Qualitative location assessment (no numeric score) Tourism + long-term rental mix · Seasonality on STR potential Rental trend: +2.8%/yr · Value trend: +3.5%/yr (post-covid recovery) 10-YEAR PROJECTION Value +2.5%/yr · Rent +2.8%/yr 10-yr unlevered cashflow: ~€52k cumulative

Risk assessment

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

① Old building, humidity / façade checks required ② Neighborhood gentrification, noise & event disruption ③ STR regulation tightening in centre-ville

Market intelligence

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

Marseille centre gross yields: 5-7% · Strong cashflow market vs Paris

Strengths

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

High net yield · Low €/m² · Cashflow-positive unlevered STR upside if licensed

Analysis summary

Asking €215,000 (~€3,909/m²). Input-based gross yield 5.5%; monthly cashflow +€395 (unlevered). No France DVF figure attached in this demo body; live France memos add gap and price-at-median when available. Identified risks: humidity / façade; neighbourhood disruption; STR regulation. Verify diagnostics and STR rules before any decision.

Disclaimer

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial or investment advice.

Deal details

LocationMarseille: Vieux-Port
Purchase price€215,000
Size55 m²
Monthly rent€980/mo
Monthly charges€90/mo
Financingcash
Brief languageFR