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Lyon 2e: Confluence (STR)

30/09/2026, 10:53:34

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Investment brief

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AI qualitative take

Four layers: calculated yields from your inputs, sourced official market data (France), explicit projection assumptions, AI qualitative analysis.

Asking €265,000. Input-based STR gross ~7.5%; monthly cashflow +€520 if occupancy holds.

Gross yield

7.5%

Price-to-rent

13.4x

Net yield

6.8%

Monthly cashflow

€1,510

Payback

14.6 yrs

Sourced market context

Official data

Demo sample figures for the UI. Not a live DVF or INSEE extract.

DVF median sale price

€5,684/m²

Transactions (n)

12

DVF median change (available years)

n/a

Gap vs DVF median

+11%

Price at DVF median (calc.)

€238,739

INSEE vacancy

9.5% (INSEE)

Carte des loyers reference

39.30 €/m²/mo · gap 0%

Derived gross yield (DVF sale / ANIL asking rent)

8.3%

Derived price-to-rent (DVF sale / ANIL asking rent)

12.1x

Source: Demo sample. Licence Ouverte / Etalab attribution where applicable.

Your price vs the market median

The height gap is the brand: how far your asking price sits from the DVF median for similar sales.

Above the sourced median. A calculated reference at median is €238,739. Gap to close: €26,261.

You pay

€265,000

At DVF median

€238,739

Gap

+11%

Sample confidence

Medium (n 8 to 19) · n=12

Offer language

Four lines you can send the agent. Sourced DVF gap only. Not a commitment.

Offer on Lyon 2e: Confluence (STR): €238,739 vs ask €265,000

Hello, I reviewed Lyon 2e: Confluence (STR) listed at €265,000.

Sourced DVF median for similar sales is about €238,739 (gap +11.0%, n=12).

I can offer €238,739, subject to visit and documents. That is about €26,261 below the ask.

I can send the one-page decision pack. This is not a commitment.

Gross yield lies: three operating cases

Optimistic ignores vacancy. Base uses INSEE vacancy when available. Pessimistic cuts rent 10%, lifts charges 20%, adds vacancy, and +1 pp on the rate if financed.

INSEE vacancy mapped to months: 1.1 mo/yr

OptimisticBasePessimistic
Net yield6.8%6.8%6.0%
Net-net1.9%1.2%-1.2%
Monthly cashflow (levered)€415€415€123
After 30% illustrative tax (30%)€1,057€947€650
Vacancy used0.0 mo/yr1.1 mo/yr3.1 mo/yr

The 30% line is a labeled haircut on unlevered net after vacancy. Not tax, IR, or LMNP advice.

Does this deal survive a bad year?

Four named shocks, then all at once: rent −10%, rate +2 pp, +6 months vacancy, works +15% on price.

  • Rent −10%Levered cashflow: €250Survives
  • Rate +2 ppLevered cashflow: €213Survives
  • Vacancy +6 monthsLevered cashflow: €415Survives
  • Works +15% on priceLevered cashflow: €251Survives
  • All shocks togetherLevered cashflow: -€147Breaks (cashflow < 0)

The combined shock turns levered cashflow negative. Reprice or pass.

After the brief: what to do next

The brief is a screen, not due diligence. Tick what you still need before an offer.

Documents to request

On the visit

Questions for the agent / notary

Yield analysis

Calculated from your inputs (deterministic)

Price €265,000 · 42 m² · STR gross €19,800/yr (€1,650/mo blended) Gross yield: 7.5% · Net: 5.9% after charges & platform fees Monthly cashflow: +€520 · Payback: 9.8 years

Market assessment

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

Confluence STR demand: events, business travel, weekends Occupancy benchmark: 68-75% · ADR €95-115 10-YEAR PROJECTION Regulatory risk discounted · Base IRR 7.8%

Risk assessment

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

① Regulation changes ② Seasonality ③ Higher opex vs long-term

Market intelligence

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

STR yields in Lyon 2e: 6.5-8.5% gross

Strengths

Qualitative AI assessment (not a market measurement)

Highest yield in portfolio · Modern building · Amenities

Analysis summary

Asking €265,000. Input-based STR gross ~7.5%; monthly cashflow +€520 if occupancy holds. Illustrative 4% below ask reference: about €254,400 (calculated reference only). Identified risks: regulation changes; seasonality; higher opex vs long-term. Confirm license before relying on STR cashflow.

Disclaimer

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only.

Deal details

LocationLyon 2e: Confluence (STR)
Purchase price€265,000
Size42 m²
Monthly rent€1650/mo
Monthly charges€140/mo
Financingm70
Brief languageEN